MoneyChoice Economic Forecast  ·  moneychoice.us

Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases

Published: June 13, 2026 Model: MoneyChoice Forecast Engine — MCP macro forecasts Coverage: PPI, Retail Sales, Building Permits, Industrial Production

Executive Summary

The upcoming week features a dense data calendar, with Thursday, June 18, emerging as the busiest release day, headlined by Advance Retail Sales and Industrial Production. Producer Price Index data, due Tuesday, is forecast to rise sharply by 3.49% month-over-month, while Building Permits are expected to increase 4.70% on Friday, signaling continued strength in the housing sector.

Model Forecast Summary
IndicatorImpactForecast (May)Previous (Apr)Change
Producer Price Index
Tue 6/16 · 8:30 AM ET
High283.56274.00▲ +3.49%
Advance Retail Sales
Thu 6/18 · 8:30 AM ET
High$227.8B$225.5B▲ +1.01%
Building Permits
Fri 6/19 · 8:30 AM ET
Med1,441K1,376K▲ +4.70%
Industrial Production
Thu 6/18 · 9:15 AM ET
Med98.8698.72▲ +0.14%
Consumer Price Index
Released prior week
High332.42330.31▲ +0.64%
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
283.56
Previous: 274.00 (Apr 2026)
▲ +3.49% m/m
Release: Tue, June 16 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Advance Retail Sales
$227.8B
Previous: $225.5B (Apr 2026)
▲ +1.01% m/m
Release: Thu, June 18 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Building Permits
1,441K
Previous: 1,376K (Apr 2026)
▲ +4.70% m/m
Release: Fri, June 19 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Industrial Production
98.86
Previous: 98.72 (Apr 2026)
▲ +0.14% m/m
Release: Thu, June 18 · 9:15 AM ET
DecMay
Release Calendar — Jun 15–19, 2026
ReportTime (ET)
Monday, June 15
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Tuesday, June 16
Producer Price Index (May)8:30 AM
Wednesday, June 17
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Thursday, June 18
Advance Retail Sales (May)8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims8:30 AM
Industrial Production (May)9:15 AM
Friday, June 19
Building Permits (May)8:30 AM
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