MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The week ahead features a relatively light data calendar, with no major Tier 1 releases scheduled following the prior week’s flurry of activity. The busiest release day was the preceding period, which included the Producer Price Index (+3.49% m/m), Advance Retail Sales (+1.01% m/m), Consumer Price Index (+0.64% m/m), Building Permits (+4.70% m/m), and Industrial Production (+0.14% m/m). Market participants will now focus on digesting these upside surprises, which collectively suggest persistent inflationary pressures and resilient consumer demand entering mid-2026.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (May) | Previous (Apr) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 283.56 | 274.00 | ▲ +3.49% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $227.8B | $225.5B | ▲ +1.01% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 332.42 | 330.31 | ▲ +0.64% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,441K | 1,376K | ▲ +4.70% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.86 | 98.72 | ▲ +0.14% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
283.56
Previous: 274.00 (Apr 2026)
▲ +3.49% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Advance Retail Sales
$227.8B
Previous: $225.5B (Apr 2026)
▲ +1.01% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Consumer Price Index
332.42
Previous: 330.31 (Apr 2026)
▲ +0.64% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Building Permits
1,441K
Previous: 1,376K (Apr 2026)
▲ +4.70% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Release Calendar — Jun 22–26, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, June 22 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, June 23 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, June 24 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, June 25 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, June 26 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.