MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The week of September 14–18, 2026 features a dense data calendar, with Thursday serving as the busiest release day as Advance Retail Sales (−1.33% m/m) and Industrial Production (−1.64% m/m) both cross the tape. Inflation signals diverge sharply, as Producer Price Index is forecast to rise 2.90% m/m while Consumer Price Index is expected to decline 1.28% m/m, a spread that will warrant close scrutiny. The week concludes Friday with Building Permits, projected at −1.28% m/m, offering a final read on housing activity.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Aug) | Previous (Jul) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Tue 9/15 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 292.61 | 284.35 | ▲ +2.90% |
Advance Retail Sales Thu 9/17 · 8:30 AM ET | High | $228.7B | $231.8B | ▼ −1.33% |
Consumer Price Index Wed 9/16 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 334.01 | 338.35 | ▼ −1.28% |
Building Permits Fri 9/18 · 8:30 AM ET | Med | 1,414K | 1,432K | ▼ −1.28% |
Industrial Production Thu 9/17 · 9:15 AM ET | Med | 98.36 | 100.00 | ▼ −1.64% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
292.61
Previous: 284.35 (Jul 2026)
▲ +2.90% m/m
Release: Tue, September 15 · 8:30 AM ET
MarAug
Advance Retail Sales
$228.7B
Previous: $231.8B (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.33% m/m
Release: Thu, September 17 · 8:30 AM ET
MarAug
Consumer Price Index
334.01
Previous: 338.35 (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Release: Wed, September 16 · 8:30 AM ET
MarAug
Building Permits
1,414K
Previous: 1,432K (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Release: Fri, September 18 · 8:30 AM ET
MarAug
Release Calendar, Sep 14–18, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, September 14 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, September 15 | ||
| Producer Price Index (Aug) | 8:30 AM | |
| Wednesday, September 16 | ||
| Consumer Price Index (Aug) | 8:30 AM | |
| Thursday, September 17 | ||
| Advance Retail Sales (Aug) | 8:30 AM | |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Industrial Production (Aug) | 9:15 AM | |
| Friday, September 18 | ||
| Building Permits (Aug) | 8:30 AM | |
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.