MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The September 28–October 2, 2026 U.S. economic calendar carries no tier-one releases, as the week's principal inflation, consumption, and production indicators—including CPI (−1.28% m/m), Advance Retail Sales (−1.33% m/m), and Industrial Production (−1.64% m/m)—were all published in the prior week. With no single release day commanding the schedule, market attention will instead center on secondary data and Federal Reserve communications for incremental direction.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Aug) | Previous (Jul) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 292.61 | 284.35 | ▲ +2.90% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $228.7B | $231.8B | ▼ −1.33% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 334.01 | 338.35 | ▼ −1.28% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,414K | 1,432K | ▼ −1.28% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.36 | 100.00 | ▼ −1.64% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
292.61
Previous: 284.35 (Jul 2026)
▲ +2.90% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Advance Retail Sales
$228.7B
Previous: $231.8B (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.33% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Consumer Price Index
334.01
Previous: 338.35 (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Building Permits
1,414K
Previous: 1,432K (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Release Calendar, Sep 28–Oct 2, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, September 28 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, September 29 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, September 30 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, October 1 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, October 2 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.