Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
For the week of September 7–11, 2026, the U.S. economic calendar is relatively light, with all major data releases—including the Producer Price Index, Advance Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, Building Permits, and Industrial Production—having been published in the prior week. Notably, the data point to a broad-based softening in activity, with forecasts indicating declines in retail sales (−1.33% m/m), consumer prices (−1.28% m/m), building permits (−1.28% m/m), and industrial production (−1.64% m/m), while producer prices are projected to rise sharply (+2.90% m/m). Given the absence of tier-one releases, market focus will likely shift to secondary indicators and Federal Reserve commentary, with no single day standing out as the busiest for scheduled data.
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Aug) | Previous (Jul) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 292.61 | 284.35 | ▲ +2.90% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $228.7B | $231.8B | ▼ −1.33% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 334.01 | 338.35 | ▼ −1.28% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,414K | 1,432K | ▼ −1.28% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.36 | 100.00 | ▼ −1.64% |
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, September 7 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, September 8 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, September 9 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, September 10 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, September 11 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||