MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The upcoming week’s economic data releases, all of which were published in the prior period, indicate a mixed trajectory for the U.S. economy, with consumer and producer price indices showing modest month-over-month increases of +0.48% and +3.19%, respectively, while industrial production and building permits are forecast to contract by −0.51% and −1.86% month-over-month. Advance retail sales are expected to rise by a slight +0.45% month-over-month, suggesting resilient consumer spending amid inflationary pressures. No single day stands out as the busiest release day, as all key indicators were disseminated in the preceding week.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jun) | Previous (May) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 292.60 | 283.56 | ▲ +3.19% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $228.8B | $227.8B | ▲ +0.45% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 334.00 | 332.42 | ▲ +0.48% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,414K | 1,441K | ▼ −1.86% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.36 | 98.86 | ▼ −0.51% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
292.60
Previous: 283.56 (May 2026)
▲ +3.19% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Advance Retail Sales
$228.8B
Previous: $227.8B (May 2026)
▲ +0.45% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Consumer Price Index
334.00
Previous: 332.42 (May 2026)
▲ +0.48% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Building Permits
1,414K
Previous: 1,441K (May 2026)
▼ −1.86% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Release Calendar — Jul 6–10, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, July 6 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, July 7 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, July 8 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, July 9 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, July 10 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.