MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The upcoming week’s U.S. economic data releases are expected to show broad-based expansion, with the Producer Price Index forecast to rise 3.49% month-over-month and Building Permits projected to increase 4.70%, signaling continued pricing pressure and firming in the housing sector. Consumer spending, as measured by Advance Retail Sales, is anticipated to grow 1.01%, while both the Consumer Price Index and Industrial Production are forecast to post more modest gains of 0.64% and 0.14%, respectively. All key releases occurred in the prior week, making the June 29–July 3 period comparatively light with no single busiest day for high-impact data.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (May) | Previous (Apr) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 283.56 | 274.00 | ▲ +3.49% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $227.8B | $225.5B | ▲ +1.01% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 332.42 | 330.31 | ▲ +0.64% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,441K | 1,376K | ▲ +4.70% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.86 | 98.72 | ▲ +0.14% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
283.56
Previous: 274.00 (Apr 2026)
▲ +3.49% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Advance Retail Sales
$227.8B
Previous: $225.5B (Apr 2026)
▲ +1.01% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Consumer Price Index
332.42
Previous: 330.31 (Apr 2026)
▲ +0.64% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Building Permits
1,441K
Previous: 1,376K (Apr 2026)
▲ +4.70% m/m
Released prior week
DecMay
Release Calendar — Jun 29–Jul 3, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, June 29 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, June 30 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, July 1 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, July 2 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, July 3 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.