Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
Busy week. Wednesday, July 15 is the one to circle — the model has CPI up 0.48% month-over-month. Producer prices come in hotter on Tuesday, +3.19%. Retail sales look modest at +0.45% Thursday. Industrial production likely contracts 0.51%, and building permits fall 1.86%. Mixed signals, to say the least.
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jun) | Previous (May) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Tue 7/14 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 292.60 | 283.56 | ▲ +3.19% |
Advance Retail Sales Thu 7/16 · 8:30 AM ET | High | $228.8B | $227.8B | ▲ +0.45% |
Consumer Price Index Wed 7/15 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 334.00 | 332.42 | ▲ +0.48% |
Building Permits Fri 7/17 · 8:30 AM ET | Med | 1,414K | 1,441K | ▼ −1.86% |
Industrial Production Thu 7/16 · 9:15 AM ET | Med | 98.36 | 98.86 | ▼ −0.51% |
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, July 13 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, July 14 | ||
| Producer Price Index (Jun) | 8:30 AM | |
| Wednesday, July 15 | ||
| Consumer Price Index (Jun) | 8:30 AM | |
| Thursday, July 16 | ||
| Advance Retail Sales (Jun) | 8:30 AM | |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Industrial Production (Jun) | 9:15 AM | |
| Friday, July 17 | ||
| Building Permits (Jun) | 8:30 AM | |
Quick questions
What should traders watch related to Week Ahead: Jul 13–17, 2026?
Watch the catalysts that actually move price this week — data prints, earnings, liquidity — then check whether your setup still has a clear target and time window before you size up.
How does MoneyChoice help with week ahead?
MoneyChoice publishes timed ideas with price targets and a public accuracy trail. Start with Capital or browse live ideas — then apply your own risk rules.
Is this investment advice?
No. These posts are educational market commentary. Trading involves risk, and past model hit rates do not guarantee future results.
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