MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast  ·  moneychoice.us

Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases

Published: June 13, 2026 Model: MoneyChoice Forecast Engine — MCP macro forecasts Coverage: PPI, Retail Sales, Building Permits, Industrial Production

Executive Summary

This is a loaded week. Thursday, June 18, is the one to circle — Advance Retail Sales and Industrial Production both print that morning, 8:30 and 9:15 ET. Producer Price Index comes Tuesday, and our model has it jumping 3.49% month over month, which is a big number if it holds. Building Permits close the week Friday, forecast up 4.70%. Housing keeps grinding higher.

Model Forecast Summary
IndicatorImpactForecast (May)Previous (Apr)Change
Producer Price Index
Tue 6/16 · 8:30 AM ET
High283.56274.00▲ +3.49%
Advance Retail Sales
Thu 6/18 · 8:30 AM ET
High$227.8B$225.5B▲ +1.01%
Building Permits
Fri 6/19 · 8:30 AM ET
Med1,441K1,376K▲ +4.70%
Industrial Production
Thu 6/18 · 9:15 AM ET
Med98.8698.72▲ +0.14%
Consumer Price Index
Released prior week
High332.42330.31▲ +0.64%
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
283.56
Previous: 274.00 (Apr 2026)
▲ +3.49% m/m
Release: Tue, June 16 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Advance Retail Sales
$227.8B
Previous: $225.5B (Apr 2026)
▲ +1.01% m/m
Release: Thu, June 18 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Building Permits
1,441K
Previous: 1,376K (Apr 2026)
▲ +4.70% m/m
Release: Fri, June 19 · 8:30 AM ET
DecMay
Industrial Production
98.86
Previous: 98.72 (Apr 2026)
▲ +0.14% m/m
Release: Thu, June 18 · 9:15 AM ET
DecMay
Release Calendar — Jun 15–19, 2026
ReportTime (ET)
Monday, June 15
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Tuesday, June 16
Producer Price Index (May)8:30 AM
Wednesday, June 17
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Thursday, June 18
Advance Retail Sales (May)8:30 AM
Initial Jobless Claims8:30 AM
Industrial Production (May)9:15 AM
Friday, June 19
Building Permits (May)8:30 AM
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.
Forecasts powered by MoneyChoice Forecast Engine  ·  Macro MCP  ·  Published June 13, 2026
For educational and discussion purposes only  ·  Not financial advice

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