MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The upcoming week’s U.S. data calendar is comparatively light, with the most significant releases—including the Producer Price Index and Advance Retail Sales—having been published in the prior period. Notably, the Producer Price Index is projected to decline by 2.82% month-over-month, while retail sales, the Consumer Price Index, and building permits are each expected to rise by 1.30% m/m, with industrial production forecast to increase by 1.67% m/m. Given that all major indicators were released last week, market participants will likely focus on secondary data and Fed commentary for directional cues.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jul) | Previous (Jun) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 284.35 | 292.60 | ▼ −2.82% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $231.8B | $228.8B | ▲ +1.30% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 338.35 | 334.00 | ▲ +1.30% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,432K | 1,414K | ▲ +1.30% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 100.00 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.67% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
284.35
Previous: 292.60 (Jun 2026)
▼ −2.82% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Advance Retail Sales
$231.8B
Previous: $228.8B (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Consumer Price Index
338.35
Previous: 334.00 (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Building Permits
1,432K
Previous: 1,414K (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Release Calendar — Aug 24–28, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 24 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, August 25 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, August 26 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, August 27 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, August 28 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.