MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast  ·  moneychoice.us

Week of Aug 17-23, 2026: Aug 24–28, 2026

Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases

Published: August 22, 2026 Model: MoneyChoice Forecast Engine — MCP macro forecasts Coverage: PPI, Retail Sales, CPI, Building Permits

Executive Summary

This is a thin week. The big prints — PPI and Advance Retail Sales — already crossed the tape in the prior period, so what's left on the model-tracked calendar is secondary data and whatever Fed speakers decide to say. For the record, the model has PPI falling 2.82% month-over-month, while retail sales, CPI, and building permits each come in up 1.30% m/m. Industrial production is forecast at +1.67% m/m. None of those numbers move anything at this point — they're already out. Directional cues this week will have to come from somewhere else.

Model Forecast Summary
IndicatorImpactForecast (Jul)Previous (Jun)Change
Producer Price Index
Released prior week
High284.35292.60▼ −2.82%
Advance Retail Sales
Released prior week
High$231.8B$228.8B▲ +1.30%
Consumer Price Index
Released prior week
High338.35334.00▲ +1.30%
Building Permits
Released prior week
Med1,432K1,414K▲ +1.30%
Industrial Production
Released prior week
Med100.0098.36▲ +1.67%
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
284.35
Previous: 292.60 (Jun 2026)
▼ −2.82% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Advance Retail Sales
$231.8B
Previous: $228.8B (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Consumer Price Index
338.35
Previous: 334.00 (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Building Permits
1,432K
Previous: 1,414K (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Release Calendar — Aug 24–28, 2026
ReportTime (ET)
Monday, August 24
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Tuesday, August 25
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Wednesday, August 26
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Thursday, August 27
Initial Jobless Claims8:30 AM
Friday, August 28
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.

Quick questions

What should traders know about Aug 24–28, 2026?

Start with the risk signals (volume, fake breakouts, AM flags), then decide whether your setup still has a clear price target and time window before you size up.

How does MoneyChoice help with aug?

Use free Smart Lens to scan a ticker for artificial manipulation flags, then verify timed ideas on Capital or live ideas.

Is this investment advice?

No. These posts are educational market commentary. Trading involves risk, and past model hit rates do not guarantee future results.