MoneyChoice Economic Forecast  ·  moneychoice.us

Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases

Published: August 1, 2026 Model: MoneyChoice Forecast Engine — MCP macro forecasts Coverage: PPI, Retail Sales, CPI, Building Permits

Executive Summary

For the week of August 3–7, 2026, the U.S. economic calendar is comparatively light, with the most significant data releases having been delivered in the prior week. Notably, the Producer Price Index is projected to decline sharply by 2.82% month-over-month, signaling easing upstream price pressures, while Advance Retail Sales, the Consumer Price Index, and Building Permits are each forecast to rise by 1.30% m/m, indicating resilient consumer demand and steady construction activity. Industrial Production is expected to post a robust 1.67% m/m gain, though no single day in the upcoming week dominates the schedule, leaving markets to digest these prior figures for directional cues.

Model Forecast Summary
IndicatorImpactForecast (Jul)Previous (Jun)Change
Producer Price Index
Released prior week
High284.35292.60▼ −2.82%
Advance Retail Sales
Released prior week
High$231.8B$228.8B▲ +1.30%
Consumer Price Index
Released prior week
High338.35334.00▲ +1.30%
Building Permits
Released prior week
Med1,432K1,414K▲ +1.30%
Industrial Production
Released prior week
Med100.0098.36▲ +1.67%
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
284.35
Previous: 292.60 (Jun 2026)
▼ −2.82% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Advance Retail Sales
$231.8B
Previous: $228.8B (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Consumer Price Index
338.35
Previous: 334.00 (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Building Permits
1,432K
Previous: 1,414K (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Release Calendar — Aug 3–7, 2026
ReportTime (ET)
Monday, August 3
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Tuesday, August 4
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Wednesday, August 5
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
Thursday, August 6
Initial Jobless Claims8:30 AM
Friday, August 7
No major model-tracked releases scheduled
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.