MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
For the week of August 3–7, 2026, the U.S. economic calendar is comparatively light, with the most significant data releases having been delivered in the prior week. Notably, the Producer Price Index is projected to decline sharply by 2.82% month-over-month, signaling easing upstream price pressures, while Advance Retail Sales, the Consumer Price Index, and Building Permits are each forecast to rise by 1.30% m/m, indicating resilient consumer demand and steady construction activity. Industrial Production is expected to post a robust 1.67% m/m gain, though no single day in the upcoming week dominates the schedule, leaving markets to digest these prior figures for directional cues.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jul) | Previous (Jun) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 284.35 | 292.60 | ▼ −2.82% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $231.8B | $228.8B | ▲ +1.30% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 338.35 | 334.00 | ▲ +1.30% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,432K | 1,414K | ▲ +1.30% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 100.00 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.67% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
284.35
Previous: 292.60 (Jun 2026)
▼ −2.82% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Advance Retail Sales
$231.8B
Previous: $228.8B (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Consumer Price Index
338.35
Previous: 334.00 (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Building Permits
1,432K
Previous: 1,414K (Jun 2026)
▲ +1.30% m/m
Released prior week
FebJul
Release Calendar — Aug 3–7, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 3 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, August 4 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, August 5 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, August 6 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, August 7 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.