Week of Jul 27-Aug 2, 2026: Aug 3–7, 2026
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
Aug 3–7, 2026 is a thin week. The big prints already landed the week before, and nothing on the calendar for these five days is likely to move the tape much. Our model has PPI falling 2.82% month-over-month, which would be a sharp drop in upstream prices if it holds. Advance Retail Sales, CPI, and Building Permits all come in at +1.30% m/m in the model — steady consumer demand, steady construction. Industrial Production is penciled in at +1.67% m/m. No single day next week dominates, so the market will mostly be chewing on the prior week's numbers for direction.
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jul) | Previous (Jun) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 284.35 | 292.60 | ▼ −2.82% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $231.8B | $228.8B | ▲ +1.30% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 338.35 | 334.00 | ▲ +1.30% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,432K | 1,414K | ▲ +1.30% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 100.00 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.67% |
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 3 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, August 4 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, August 5 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, August 6 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, August 7 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
Quick questions
What should traders know about Aug 3–7, 2026?
Start with the risk signals (volume, fake breakouts, AM flags), then decide whether your setup still has a clear price target and time window before you size up.
How does MoneyChoice help with aug?
Use free Smart Lens to scan a ticker for artificial manipulation flags, then verify timed ideas on Capital or live ideas.
Is this investment advice?
No. These posts are educational market commentary. Trading involves risk, and past model hit rates do not guarantee future results.