MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The week ahead features a relatively light data calendar following last week’s heavy release schedule, which included the Producer Price Index (▲ +3.19% m/m), Advance Retail Sales (▲ +0.45% m/m), Consumer Price Index (▲ +0.48% m/m), Building Permits (▼ −1.86% m/m), and Industrial Production (▼ −0.51% m/m). No single day stands out as the busiest, as all key indicators were published in the prior period, leaving market participants to digest the implications of rising producer and consumer prices alongside a modest contraction in industrial output and housing permits.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jun) | Previous (May) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 292.60 | 283.56 | ▲ +3.19% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $228.8B | $227.8B | ▲ +0.45% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 334.00 | 332.42 | ▲ +0.48% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,414K | 1,441K | ▼ −1.86% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.36 | 98.86 | ▼ −0.51% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
292.60
Previous: 283.56 (May 2026)
▲ +3.19% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Advance Retail Sales
$228.8B
Previous: $227.8B (May 2026)
▲ +0.45% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Consumer Price Index
334.00
Previous: 332.42 (May 2026)
▲ +0.48% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Building Permits
1,414K
Previous: 1,441K (May 2026)
▼ −1.86% m/m
Released prior week
JanJun
Release Calendar — Jul 20–24, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, July 20 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, July 21 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, July 22 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, July 23 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, July 24 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.