MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The September 21–25, 2026 U.S. economic calendar carries no tier-one releases, with the week's principal indicators—Producer Price Index, Advance Retail Sales, Consumer Price Index, Building Permits, and Industrial Production—already published in the prior week. Those prints depicted a stagflationary mix, as PPI rose 2.90% m/m while CPI fell 1.28% m/m, Advance Retail Sales declined 1.33% m/m, Building Permits slipped 1.28% m/m, and Industrial Production contracted 1.64% m/m. With no single dominant release day, market attention should instead center on secondary data and Federal Reserve communications for directional confirmation.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Aug) | Previous (Jul) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 292.61 | 284.35 | ▲ +2.90% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $228.7B | $231.8B | ▼ −1.33% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 334.01 | 338.35 | ▼ −1.28% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,414K | 1,432K | ▼ −1.28% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 98.36 | 100.00 | ▼ −1.64% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
292.61
Previous: 284.35 (Jul 2026)
▲ +2.90% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Advance Retail Sales
$228.7B
Previous: $231.8B (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.33% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Consumer Price Index
334.01
Previous: 338.35 (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Building Permits
1,414K
Previous: 1,432K (Jul 2026)
▼ −1.28% m/m
Released prior week
MarAug
Release Calendar, Sep 21–25, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, September 21 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, September 22 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, September 23 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, September 24 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, September 25 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.