Week of Aug 10-16, 2026: Aug 17–21, 2026
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The week's calendar is lopsided. Producer prices are the headline, and our model has the PPI falling 2.82% month-over-month. That sits against a CPI print from the prior week that came in at +1.30% m/m, so wholesale and consumer inflation are pointing in different directions. Thursday, August 20 is the busy day: Advance Retail Sales and Industrial Production land within an hour of each other, forecast at +1.30% and +1.67% m/m. Building Permits follow Friday at +1.30% m/m. Whether the Fed reads the PPI drop as disinflation or as noise, and whether the demand-side numbers hold up, is the debate for the week.
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Jul) | Previous (Jun) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Tue 8/18 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 284.35 | 292.60 | ▼ −2.82% |
Advance Retail Sales Thu 8/20 · 8:30 AM ET | High | $231.8B | $228.8B | ▲ +1.30% |
Building Permits Fri 8/21 · 8:30 AM ET | Med | 1,432K | 1,414K | ▲ +1.30% |
Industrial Production Thu 8/20 · 9:15 AM ET | Med | 100.00 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.67% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 338.35 | 334.00 | ▲ +1.30% |
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, August 17 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, August 18 | ||
| Producer Price Index (Jul) | 8:30 AM | |
| Wednesday, August 19 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, August 20 | ||
| Advance Retail Sales (Jul) | 8:30 AM | |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Industrial Production (Jul) | 9:15 AM | |
| Friday, August 21 | ||
| Building Permits (Jul) | 8:30 AM | |
Quick questions
What should traders know about Aug 17–21, 2026?
Start with the risk signals (volume, fake breakouts, AM flags), then decide whether your setup still has a clear price target and time window before you size up.
How does MoneyChoice help with aug?
Use free Smart Lens to scan a ticker for artificial manipulation flags, then verify timed ideas on Capital or live ideas.
Is this investment advice?
No. These posts are educational market commentary. Trading involves risk, and past model hit rates do not guarantee future results.