MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The week of October 12–16 features a dense inflation and demand calendar, with Thursday serving as the busiest release day as Advance Retail Sales (+1.40% m/m) and Industrial Production (+1.44% m/m) both print. Headline inflation data dominate the prior sessions, with PPI on Tuesday and CPI on Wednesday forecast to decline 6.35% and 2.14% m/m, respectively, while Building Permits close the week on Friday at −2.15% m/m.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Sep) | Previous (Aug) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Tue 10/13 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 274.02 | 292.61 | ▼ −6.35% |
Advance Retail Sales Thu 10/15 · 8:30 AM ET | High | $231.9B | $228.7B | ▲ +1.40% |
Consumer Price Index Wed 10/14 · 8:30 AM ET | High | 326.86 | 334.01 | ▼ −2.14% |
Building Permits Fri 10/16 · 8:30 AM ET | Med | 1,384K | 1,414K | ▼ −2.15% |
Industrial Production Thu 10/15 · 9:15 AM ET | Med | 99.78 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.44% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
274.02
Previous: 292.61 (Aug 2026)
▼ −6.35% m/m
Release: Tue, October 13 · 8:30 AM ET
AprSep
Advance Retail Sales
$231.9B
Previous: $228.7B (Aug 2026)
▲ +1.40% m/m
Release: Thu, October 15 · 8:30 AM ET
AprSep
Consumer Price Index
326.86
Previous: 334.01 (Aug 2026)
▼ −2.14% m/m
Release: Wed, October 14 · 8:30 AM ET
AprSep
Building Permits
1,384K
Previous: 1,414K (Aug 2026)
▼ −2.15% m/m
Release: Fri, October 16 · 8:30 AM ET
AprSep
Release Calendar, Oct 12–16, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 12 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, October 13 | ||
| Producer Price Index (Sep) | 8:30 AM | |
| Wednesday, October 14 | ||
| Consumer Price Index (Sep) | 8:30 AM | |
| Thursday, October 15 | ||
| Advance Retail Sales (Sep) | 8:30 AM | |
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Industrial Production (Sep) | 9:15 AM | |
| Friday, October 16 | ||
| Building Permits (Sep) | 8:30 AM | |
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.