MoneyChoice ■ Economic Forecast · moneychoice.us
Model-driven outlook for key U.S. economic releases
Executive Summary
The October 5–9, 2026 U.S. economic calendar carries no scheduled releases, as all monitored indicators—including the Producer Price Index (−6.35% m/m), Consumer Price Index (−2.14% m/m), and Building Permits (−2.15% m/m)—were published in the prior week. With the calendar effectively cleared, market attention will likely center on secondary data and Federal Reserve communications rather than first-tier prints. No single release day dominates the week given the absence of major scheduled indicators.
Model Forecast Summary
| Indicator | Impact | Forecast (Sep) | Previous (Aug) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Producer Price Index Released prior week | High | 274.02 | 292.61 | ▼ −6.35% |
Advance Retail Sales Released prior week | High | $231.9B | $228.7B | ▲ +1.40% |
Consumer Price Index Released prior week | High | 326.86 | 334.01 | ▼ −2.14% |
Building Permits Released prior week | Med | 1,384K | 1,414K | ▼ −2.15% |
Industrial Production Released prior week | Med | 99.78 | 98.36 | ▲ +1.44% |
Forecast Detail
Producer Price Index
274.02
Previous: 292.61 (Aug 2026)
▼ −6.35% m/m
Released prior week
AprSep
Advance Retail Sales
$231.9B
Previous: $228.7B (Aug 2026)
▲ +1.40% m/m
Released prior week
AprSep
Consumer Price Index
326.86
Previous: 334.01 (Aug 2026)
▼ −2.14% m/m
Released prior week
AprSep
Building Permits
1,384K
Previous: 1,414K (Aug 2026)
▼ −2.15% m/m
Released prior week
AprSep
Release Calendar, Oct 5–9, 2026
| Report | Time (ET) | |
|---|---|---|
| Monday, October 5 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Tuesday, October 6 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Wednesday, October 7 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
| Thursday, October 8 | ||
| Initial Jobless Claims | 8:30 AM | |
| Friday, October 9 | ||
| No major model-tracked releases scheduled | ||
⚠ Disclaimer: This content is generated by quantitative models for educational and discussion purposes only.
It does not constitute financial advice. Past model performance does not guarantee future results.